Euro is gaining broadly today, even though there is no major fundamental news driving its ascent. Market expectations are mounting that ECB may cut interest rates as early as October, with HSBC projecting 25bps cuts at every meeting from October through April 2025. This would bring the deposit rate to 2.25%, which is considered close…
Dollar finished last week on the back foot, reacting to Fed’s decision to cut rates by 50 bps. While the greenback lost ground to most major rivals, its decline was relatively modest. Notably, Dollar managed to close higher against both Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, and it continued to hold above key near term support…
Sterling climbed broadly today, fueled by unexpectedly strong UK retail sales data that more than compensated for the lackluster consumer confidence report. Despite ongoing high interest rates and persistent inflation, British consumers appear to be resilient, continuing to spend. This bolsters the position of hawkish members within the BoE’s MPC, who may push harder for…
Sterling surged notably today and reached its highest level against Dollar since March 2022. The move followed BoE’s decision to hold interest rates steady as expected. The surprise came from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, who chose not to vote for a rate cut. The overall tone from BoE suggests that while further rate cuts are…
Market reactions were indecisive after Fed’s much-anticipated rate cut overnight. The initial optimism that sparked a rally in US stocks quickly fizzled out, with major indexes closing in the red, while Treasury yields staged a recovery. The reaction was somewhat anticlimactic but understandable given the unusually high level of uncertainty surrounding this FOMC meeting. In…
Sterling strengthened across the board today after UK CPI data revealed reacceleration in core inflation. The uptick in core CPI provides additional support for hawkish members of the BoE’s MPC, bolstering the case for a rate hold at tomorrow’s decision. A rate cut is still expected in November, when new economic projections will be available….
The much-anticipated FOMC day has finally arrived, and the financial world is eagerly waiting to see if Fed will opt for a 25bps or a more assertive 50bps rate cut. With market expectations split nearly down the middle, and likely some internal divergence within FOMC itself, the outcome is poised to trigger significant market volatility…
Market activity in Asia has been unusually subdued today, with trading volumes even quieter than expected for the first session of the week. The holiday closures in Japan and China are partly responsible for the reduced momentum, but a larger factor looms over the markets: the upcoming FOMC meeting, which is one of the most…
The forex markets have remained largely subdued in today’s Asian session, with most major currency pairs moving within a narrow range from yesterday. Investor sentiment stabilized overnight, with major US stock indexes closing higher. However, caution is still the prevailing mood as traders await tomorrow’s US CPI data, which will be pivotal in shaping Fed’s…
Asian markets started the week on a weak note, with sharp declines following the broader selloff in US markets after last week’s non-farm payroll report. Adding to the bearish mood was weaker-than-expected inflation data from China, which dampened sentiment further. However, the reaction in the forex market has been somewhat muted, with commodity-linked currencies, like…
