Risk-on sentiment returned to global markets again in early US trading, driven by lower-than-expected inflation data. While annual PCE core inflation edged up to 2.7%, the monthly increase was a modest 0.1%. This tamer monthly inflation growth suggests that underlying price pressures would, at least, not obstruct Fed’s to another aggressive rate cut at its…
Dollar continued its broad-based weakness in Asian session, with selling pressure shifting towards European majors. EUR/USD is approaching its August high as the near-term rebound gathers momentum. This decline in the Dollar is partly attributed to weaker-than-expected US consumer confidence data released overnight, which has intensified market expectations of consecutive 50bps rate cuts by Fed…
The forex market continues to display a mild risk-on mood, with commodity-linked currencies Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian Dollars gaining ground. In contrast, safe-haven currencies Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and Dollar are under pressure. Australian Dollar jumps earlier today following RBA’s decision to hold rates steady, combined with China’s broad stimulus package aimed at boosting…
Sterling climbed broadly today, fueled by unexpectedly strong UK retail sales data that more than compensated for the lackluster consumer confidence report. Despite ongoing high interest rates and persistent inflation, British consumers appear to be resilient, continuing to spend. This bolsters the position of hawkish members within the BoE’s MPC, who may push harder for…
Sterling surged notably today and reached its highest level against Dollar since March 2022. The move followed BoE’s decision to hold interest rates steady as expected. The surprise came from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, who chose not to vote for a rate cut. The overall tone from BoE suggests that while further rate cuts are…
Sterling strengthened across the board today after UK CPI data revealed reacceleration in core inflation. The uptick in core CPI provides additional support for hawkish members of the BoE’s MPC, bolstering the case for a rate hold at tomorrow’s decision. A rate cut is still expected in November, when new economic projections will be available….
Canadian Dollar is broadly lower in early US trading following weaker-than-expected inflation data. With CPI decelerating further than anticipated, this set of data provides BoC some breathing room to ease monetary policy more aggressively if necessary. The spotlight now shifts to the upcoming September employment report, which will be crucial in determining whether BoC sticks…
Investor sentiment is currently mixed, reflecting the heightened uncertainty surrounding this week’s crucial Fed meeting. While DOW surged to a fresh record high overnight, and S&P 500 edged closer to its historical peak too, the tech-heavy NASDAQ struggled, ending the session in negative territory. The mixed performance extended to Asia, where Nikkei fell sharply in…
Traders continue to ramp up bets on a 50bps rate cut by Fed this Wednesday, with market odds now sitting at 65%. This increasing expectation is driving DOW futures higher, positioning the index for a potential new record high in the upcoming regular trading session. However, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are showing less momentum, struggling…
The financial markets have been more influenced by speculations than by concrete economic data, as anticipation builds ahead of Fed’s interest rate decision on September 18. Recent US economic indicators, including the latest CPI report and the prior week’s non-farm payrolls, pointed toward a cautious and modest 25bps rate cut. However, traders and investors chose…
