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FOMC Uncertainty Looms Over Quiet Markets as Yen Strengthens

Market activity in Asia has been unusually subdued today, with trading volumes even quieter than expected for the first session of the week. The holiday closures in Japan and China are partly responsible for the reduced momentum, but a larger factor looms over the markets: the upcoming FOMC meeting, which is one of the most…

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Rumors Eclipse Data in Market Sentiment, Dollar Braces for Downside Risk

The financial markets have been more influenced by speculations than by concrete economic data, as anticipation builds ahead of Fed’s interest rate decision on September 18. Recent US economic indicators, including the latest CPI report and the prior week’s non-farm payrolls, pointed toward a cautious and modest 25bps rate cut. However, traders and investors chose…

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Yen Leads Weekly Gains While France Stages Come Back

Yen continues to strengthen broadly today, maintaining its position as the best-performing currency of the week so far. Renewed speculation around a possible 50bps rate cut by the Fed has provided an extra lift to the Japanese currency. Additionally, renewed weakness in US and European benchmark yields further supports the Yen’s rally. BoJ is widely…

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Fed’s Rate-Cut Debate Intensifies, Dollar Tumbles Amid Renewed 50bps Speculation

Dollar fell sharply overnight as the probability of a 50bps rate cut by Fed next week increased significantly. According to fed fund futures, the odds of a half-point cut now sit at around 40%, a notable jump from just 14% the day before. Market participants had widely assumed that Fed was firmly on track for…

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Impressive Stock Reversal after CPI Setback, Eyes Now on ECB Rate Cut

The stronger-than-anticipated core inflation data initially sent shockwaves through US equities overnight, sparking a deep sell-off. However, tech stocks led a remarkable recovery, with all major indexes finishing in green. Notably, S&P 500 posted a remarkable reversal, ending the day up more than 1% after having fallen over -1% intraday—a feat not seen since 2022….

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Dollar Weakens as Treasury Yields Slip, Market Awaits US CPI for Clarity on Fed’s Next Move

Dollar softened across the board in today’s Asian session, dragged down by extended in US Treasury yields. Investors appear to be setting aside the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, focusing instead on the highly anticipated US CPI report, which might hopefully provide clearer direction on Fed’s upcoming interest rate cut. Market…

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Sterling Briefly Lifted by UK Jobs Data, But Forex Markets Remain Subdued

Trading in the forex markets remained relatively subdued today, with limited momentum across major pairs. Sterling saw a brief uptick following robust UK employment data, but the rally quickly lost steam. The data did little to alter expectations that BoE will likely keep rates unchanged next week and wait until November to reassess its stance….

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Forex Unmoved by Asian Selloff, Traders Cautious Ahead of US CPI, UK Data, and ECB Rate Cut

Asian markets started the week on a weak note, with sharp declines following the broader selloff in US markets after last week’s non-farm payroll report. Adding to the bearish mood was weaker-than-expected inflation data from China, which dampened sentiment further. However, the reaction in the forex market has been somewhat muted, with commodity-linked currencies, like…

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