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US Inflation Data Fuels More Risk-On Rally, Yen Surges After Ishiba’s LDP Leadership Win

Risk-on sentiment returned to global markets again in early US trading, driven by lower-than-expected inflation data. While annual PCE core inflation edged up to 2.7%, the monthly increase was a modest 0.1%. This tamer monthly inflation growth suggests that underlying price pressures would, at least, not obstruct Fed’s to another aggressive rate cut at its…

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Risk-On Sentiment Drives Global Gains, Kiwi and Aussie Lead the Charge

Risk-on sentiment continues to dominate global financial markets today, driven by widespread monetary easing and a significant boost from China’s latest stimulus measures. US equities finished strong overnight, with all major indexes posting gains. S&P 500 hit a fresh record for the third consecutive time this week. Meanwhile, Germany’s DAX also surged to an all-time…

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Swiss Franc Steady as Dovish SNB Tone Balances Offsets Rate Cut

Swiss Franc remained relatively stable today following SNB’s decision to cut its policy rate by 25bps, bringing it down to 1.00%. This move defied some market speculations that anticipated a larger 50bps reduction. Despite opting for a smaller cut, SNB issued a decidedly dovish statement, sharply downgrading its inflation forecasts. The central bank signaled a…

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Risk-On Sentiment Drives Asian Markets; Focus Shifts to SNB Rate Decision

Asian markets are maintaining a risk-on tone today, despite the lackluster US market performance overnight. Sentiment remains buoyed by China’s recent monetary stimulus measures, even as doubts linger about their overall effectiveness due to the absence of significant fiscal support. Nevertheless, stocks in Hong Kong and China continue to trade higher. In Japan, Nikkei is…

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Aussie Jumps as RBA Holds Steady, Markets Lifted by China’s Stimulus Push

Australian Dollar surged broadly today following RBA’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 4.35%, as widely expected. What caught the market’s attention was RBA’s continued focus on inflation risks, making it clear that the central bank is not considering a rate cut anytime soon. During the post-meeting press conference, Governor Michele Bullock downplayed the…

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Euro Slumps on Weak PMI as ECB Oct Cut Speculation Heats Up

Euro took a sharp dive today following disappointing PMI data that fueled fresh speculation about ECB potentially moving up its anticipated rate cut. Markets had been bracing for a December cut, timed with the release of new economic forecasts. However, the mounting risks of stagnation and even recession in the Eurozone have prompted discussions that…

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Dollar With Limited Losses After Fed; Yen Slumps; Sterling Soars

Dollar finished last week on the back foot, reacting to Fed’s decision to cut rates by 50 bps. While the greenback lost ground to most major rivals, its decline was relatively modest. Notably, Dollar managed to close higher against both Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, and it continued to hold above key near term support…

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Sterling Gains on Cautious BoE, Investors Embrace Fed’s Message

Sterling surged notably today and reached its highest level against Dollar since March 2022. The move followed BoE’s decision to hold interest rates steady as expected. The surprise came from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, who chose not to vote for a rate cut. The overall tone from BoE suggests that while further rate cuts are…

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No Fireworks After Fed Cut, Attention Turns to BoE

Market reactions were indecisive after Fed’s much-anticipated rate cut overnight. The initial optimism that sparked a rally in US stocks quickly fizzled out, with major indexes closing in the red, while Treasury yields staged a recovery. The reaction was somewhat anticlimactic but understandable given the unusually high level of uncertainty surrounding this FOMC meeting. In…

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Sterling Climbs as UK Core Inflation Accelerates, Dollar Softens Ahead of FOMC Decision

Sterling strengthened across the board today after UK CPI data revealed reacceleration in core inflation. The uptick in core CPI provides additional support for hawkish members of the BoE’s MPC, bolstering the case for a rate hold at tomorrow’s decision. A rate cut is still expected in November, when new economic projections will be available….

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